Tag Archives: Munich

COP28 Stabilizes Mid-Dec. Arctic Ice

From Science Matters

By Ron Clutz

As COP28 began, Arctic ice extrent grew rapidly and by its end the Arctic was completely normal. On lower left, Chukchi sea filled in and below Bering sea started serious freezing. Lower right Hudson Bay more than doubled up to 800k km2, 2/3 of its maximum extent.  Center right Baffin Bay grew to 45% of max.

A Lufthansa aircraft at the snow-covered Munich airport on Saturday. Photograph: Karl-Josef Hildenbrand/AP

Coincidently, COP28 also triggered heavy snow bringing chaos to southern Germany causing Munich to suspend flights to anywhere, including Dubai.

The graph below shows the gains in ice extent mid-November to Mid December for 2023, the 17 year average and some other recent years, as well as SII (Sea Ice Index)

MASIE showed 2023 and 2022 tracking the 17 year average and ending very close together.  2007 fluctuated a lot, well below average in December before rising at the end.  SII tracked ~400k km2 lower most of this period, before rising to match MASIE in the last few days.

The table below shows the distribution of ice in the Arctic Ocean basins.

Region2023349Day 3492023-Ave.20073492023-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere1210431112162108 -57797 12000124104187 
 (1) Beaufort_Sea10709661070103 863 10697111255 
 (2) Chukchi_Sea948805934827 13978 796459152347 
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea10871371086539 598 10771929945 
 (4) Laptev_Sea897845897835 897845
 (5) Kara_Sea826874847433 -20559 842174-15300 
 (6) Barents_Sea370088335870 34218 28517984909 
 (7) Greenland_Sea688238546548 141690 571916116322 
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence819365824803 -5438 852443-33079 
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago854860853420 1440 8525562304 
 (10) Hudson_Bay8007601101080 -300320 1248305-447546 
 (11) Central_Arctic32120593204043 8016 319233119728 
 (12) Bering_Sea226652236725 -10073 93340133312 
 (13) Baltic_Sea5532311920 43403 1035344970 
 (14) Sea_of_Okhotsk231640200090 31550 20634225297 

Note that Arctic ice now exceeds 12M km2, or 80% of last March maximum.  As shown in the table above, the main deficit to average is in Hudson Bay, likely to be overcome with the current rapid growth. Offsetting are surpluses elsewhere, mostly in Greenland sea, along with Barents and Baltic seas.

The frozen chosen got stuck in Munich

From CFACT

From Duggan Flanakin

On their way to sunny Dubai, the private jets of those pretending to care about planetary warming were frozen on glaciated runways.

The planet had to be laughing. It seems the Earth knows it is being used as a fall guy. Just to prove a point – that they are NOT in charge – Mama Gaia threw down the heaviest snowfall in Munich’s memory to show them who’s really boss.

Maybe she has finally grown weary of the luxury liner class who disguise their schemes for world domination with scary scenarios implying that they can “save the planet” if we just give them more power to diminish our lives.

Mind you, this was hardly the first time Mama G has brought the white stuff to embarrass the pseudo-warmists whose every dire climate prediction to date has failed to come true. Frigid weather has greeted climate meetings so often that pundits coined the term “the Gore Effect.”

Politico in 2008 described the Gore Effect as “a global warming-related event or appearance by … Al Gore … [that is] marked by exceedingly cold weather or unseasonably winter weather.”

The article cites as examples the March 2007 Capitol Hill media briefing on a Senate climate bill that was canceled due to a snowstorm; the October 22 (2008) global warming speech by Gore at Harvard University that coincided with near-125-year record-breaking low temperatures; and the marathon British House of Commons debate on global warming a week later during London’s first October snowfall since 1922.

But those three events are, shall we say, just the tip of the iceberg.

Climate Depot has chronicled a much longer list, beginning with a Gore speech decrying global warming during a bitterly cold day in New York City (December 2006). In December 2008, Gore ranted about global warming during a “rare” snowy, cold day in Italy.

Then, on March 1, 2009, the (then) “largest public protest of global warming ever in the U.S.” was literally snowed under in Washington, DC. The snow was so bad that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s plane (she was to be a speaker) could not land at any local airport. Again, in 2014, yet another global warming hearing in the nation’s capital was stifled by a heavy snowfall.

The Glasgow Climate Summit in 2021 provided the most recent (until now) demonstration of the Gore Effect. The October arrival of Arctic air froze the outdoor climate protestors, while inside, the caviar crowd accomplished literally nothing – but they all ate well, slept in comfort, and re-boarded their private jets.

No wonder, then, that the jet-setters chose the UAE – where it does not snow – to host this year’s charade. But once again, Mama G got the last laugh, though those who know their real agenda are not laughing.

The 2019 report, “The Future of Urban Consumption in a 1.5 C World,” asserts that to avoid worldwide climate breakdown (more honestly, “to ensure our total dominance over the rest of humanity”), major industries — energy generation, transportation, agriculture, construction, electronics, and clothing and textiles — will have to undergo significant structural changes.

First on the list, brought to us by C40 Cities, is limiting the number of new clothing items we can buy each year — in the name of reducing supply chain waste. A favored remedy involves returning to the “pre-industrial civilization practice of taking 760 hours to make clothing. Only the rich could afford new clothes. Also, say “Goodbye” to clothes dryers – remember those stiff, wind-dried jeans?

C40 Cities also demands we reduce car ownership (easily accomplished by mandating electric vehicles that most cannot afford or do not want) and limiting airplane flights — that can only use biofuels. Worse, biofuel production must be limited to avoid land use conflicts.

The barons also call for barring ordinary people from eating meat and dairy (except laboratory “meat”). Because they believe when people own property they create a multiplier effect on consumption, so only the “wise” elites will be allowed to own anything.

When the climate lords finally arrived in Dubai, to their dismay, they ran into a buzzsaw of opposition, led (to hardly anyone’s surprise) by the host (and Summit president) himself. Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber told attendees that there is “no science” behind the global warming campaign.

The UAE’s minister of industry and advanced technology (who later backtracked from his bold statement) added that eliminating fossil fuels would not allow for sustainable growth “unless you want to take the world back into caves.”

Well, that’s pretty close to taking 760 hours to make a suit of clothing. And three billion still live in a pre-industrial world.

A coterie of “scientists and students” demanded that African leaders forego their nations’ bountiful natural resources and rely solely on the long-awaited influx of Western cash to finance wind and solar projects that, at best, would generate intermittent power to the select few.

NJ Ayuk, executive chairman of the African Energy Chamber, called this proposed surrender of African sovereignty “a horrible idea.” He took offense at the idea that Western aid gives the West the right to influence domestic African policy decisions. Worse, Western “aid” has all too often made things worse for ordinary Africans.

Another quick response came from the newest developing world spokesperson, Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, half-brother of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Responding to the demand by UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres for a total phaseout of fossil fuels, Prince Abdulaziz said, “Absolutely not.”

To emphasize his point, he said, “I would like to put that challenge for all of those who come out publicly saying we have to (phase down). I’ll give you their name and number. Call them and ask them how they are gonna do that. If they believe that this is the highest moral ground issue, fantastic. Let them do that themselves. And we will see how much they can deliver.”

Prince Abdulaziz, like many in the developing world, has learned the lessons lost on the British and French diplomats who at Munich in 1938 callously allowed Hitler to seize Czechoslovakia without a fight. Their pitiful appeasement gesture at the Munich Conference failed to prevent World War II and led to the genocide of 12 million people (half of them Jews), “Munich” now symbolizes surrender to tyrants.

If these pontificating world leaders and billionaire dilettantes actually believed “global warming” was going to destroy all life on Earth, they would not fly private jets into the desert.

More and more people now realize that the true purpose of restrictions on human freedom has nothing to do with “climate change” and everything to do with depopulation, de-industrialization, and dehumanization.

To truly “save the world,” the Brussels sprouters and their mega-billionaire buddies must be stopped dead in their tracks.

A version of this article originally appeared at Town Hall

Munich Record December Snow Depth Shows That Weather Surprises Us Again And Again

From NoTricksZone

By P Gosselin on 5. December 2023

X-account Kunstliche Intelligenz here reports on Germany’s recent heavy snowfalls in Munich, which surprised experts and media and sent them scrambling for an explanation. 

Snow quantities: Climate models are patient. By Kunstliche Intelligenz 

Chart shows the max. snow depth reached and date occurred each year in Munich since 1954. Source: Kunstliche Intelligenz

It’s snowing a lot in Germany and climate researchers already feel compelled to modify their explanations in an effort to maintain interpretative sovereignty. A brief summary of the contradictions that are becoming apparent.

1. Polar vortex: cooling leads to more snow
2021 already saw a lot of snow in Europe. Climate researchers argued it was snowing more because it was getting colder in northern Europe despite global warming. The behavior of the polar vortex was cited as the cause (strong/weak polar vortex and jet stream). [1]

Evidence: climate change leads to less snow
However, the amount of snow is actually decreasing in Europe due to climate change, as satellite analyses show. From 1973/74 to 2022/23, the amount of snow fell continuously by a total of 20.4%. [3]

2. Humidity: warming leads to more snow
In 2023, there will again be a lot of snow in Germany. Another explanation is making rounds: due to climate change, the temperature is rising, the atmosphere is absorbing more moisture and as a result it is also snowing more, albeit at higher temperatures. [2]

Evidence: New snow records in Germany
(See chart) The evaluation of historically measured maximum snowfall amounts shows that the snowfall in Munich on December 2 is an all-time December record with 44 cm. [4] If you analyze the data, you can see that the maximum snowfall from 1954-1974 was particularly high with an average of 25 cm. This fits in with the drop in temperatures between 1940 and 1975, which gave rise to speculation that a new ice age was imminent. [5] Since 1975, on the other hand, the maximum amount of snow has averaged 19 cm with no clear trend.

Conclusion: Depending on the evaluation and explanation, you can interpret anyything into the snow data and argue for or against global warming. But if you realize that weather and climate are chaotic systems that are fundamentally unpredictable and that the assumption of a monocausal relationship that is supposed to dominate everything (CO2 concentration and temperature) is ultimately just a model assumption and nothing more, the cognitive dissonance immediately fizzles out. Like all other weather phenomena, the amount of snow in 2024 will not take into account any extremely simplified and under-complex computer modeling, but will surprise us again and again.

[1] https://dw.com/en/cold-winter-polar-vortex/a-56534450 
[2] https://tagesschau.de/faktenfinder/schnee-100.html
[3] https://x.com/Climatologist49/status/1731052502668427647?s=20
[4] https://x.com/meteomabe/status/1730924979674370114?s=20
[5] https://welt.de/wissenschaft.html

Snow a thing of the past? COP 28 meets reality.

Heavy snow and ice has frozen jets in Munich bound for Dubai’s global warming conference. Heavy snowfall has brought chaos to parts of southern Germany, with air and rail traffic blocked in the Bavarian state capital of Munich.

Munich International (Germany) dealing with heavy snowfall as flights head for Dubai’s global warming conference.