World Cereal Output Hit Record High In 2024

A bar graph illustrating global cereal output forecasts for 2024, showing record high estimates for coarse grains, wheat, and rice. Coarse grains forecasted at 1,793 million tonnes, wheat at 4,806 million tonnes, and rice at 95 million tonnes, with a background featuring a tractor in a field.

Yeah, global cereal production (including wheat, maize/corn, rice, barley, sorghum, and other coarse grains) reached a record high in 2024, according to data and reports from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations and related sources.

Mid-2024 forecasts pegged it at around 2,854 million tonnes, slightly above the previous year’s level and marking a new record.

Later refinements placed final or near- final estimates for 2024 production in the range of approximately 2,848– 2,853 million tonnes, still representing a peak or near-peak output.

This was driven by strong performances in coarse grains (like maize), wheat in regions such as Asia (e.g., record wheat in Pakistan), and rice nearing or hitting records (around 535–537 million tonnes milled basis).

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Bar graph depicting world cereal output forecast for 2024, showing record highs for coarse grains, wheat, and rice. Data suggests a total output of 2,848-2,853 million tonnes, a 0.8% increase from 2023.

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

The UN Food & Agriculture Organisation has updated agricultural data for 2024.

World cereal outputs have hit yet another record high, giving the lie to the climate scamsters’ constant misinformation:

Line graph showing global primary cereal production from 1965 to 2020, with a general upward trend in production over the years.
FAOSTAT

It’s the same story with overall agricultural production, again setting a new high in 2024 – note these are at fixed prices and are therefore not distorted by inflation:

Line graph depicting the global gross production value in agriculture from 1965 to 2020, with data points marked for each year.

The UN are also projecting another big increase in cereal production for 2026/26:

They commented:

FAO’s latest forecast for world cereal production in 2025 has been revised upward this month to 3 003 million tonnes, marking the first time the global output is estimated to surpass the 3-billion-tonne level.

Upward revisions to wheat production estimates are primarily behind the improved outlook, driven especially by Argentina, where larger-than-expected plantings and likely record yields, supported by favourable weather, are expected to result in an all-time-high harvest.

Revisions to wheat production in the European Union and the United States of America also contributed to this month’s more buoyant outlook.

Likewise, global coarse grain production has been raised, although to a lesser extent, mostly reflecting higher barley output.

As for rice, FAO has upgraded its production forecast for Indonesia since November, as official assessments in the country indicate that continued area expansions are likely to translate into a higher- than -previously-expected offseason harvest.

Coupled with improved crop prospects for Bangladesh and Japan, this revision raises the global production forecast for 2025/26 by 2.4 million tonnes to 558.8 million tonnes (milled basis).

At that level, world rice output would be 1.6 percent above the 2024/25 result and at an all- time high.

Bangladesh, Brazil, China, India, and Indonesia are forecast to spearhead this growth, more than compensating for contractions in Madagascar, Nepal, Pakistan, Thailand, and the United States of America.

The long-term increase in food output has been undoubtedly driven by fossil fuels. Fertilisers have, of course, been hugely important, but maybe more important still has been the increase in productivity resulting from mechanisation.

Mechanisation on farms has obviously transformed the agricultural sector. But the ability to get foodstuff to markets, refrigeration and shipping are all equally important factors.

None of this would be possible without fossil fuels.


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