Forget About MHEVs

A silver car labeled 'Mild Hybrid' parked indoors, showcasing its sleek design and modern features.

MHEVs are vehicles that combine a conventional internal combustion engine with a small electric motor to assist, rather than replace, the engine, improving fuel efficiency and reducing emissions without providing all-electric driving capability.

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

Following my post on the EU abandonment of the ban on ICE cars in 2035, it is worth clarifying the position regarding hybrids.

Just to recap – the EU demands that vehicle emissions are cut by 90% from 2021 levels come 2035, that is from a 2021 baseline of 110 g CO2/km.

As an example, the current Volkswagen Golf diesel is rated at 115 g currently, with the Golf plug-in hybrid at 25 g.

All emissions figures are certified by the manufacturer, using WLTP technical procedures. I would stress that they are tailpipe emissions, so fully electric cars are rated at zero emissions, regardless of the fact that the electricity they use may involve CO2 emissions.

Where does this leave non-plug-in hybrids, usually referred to as mHEVs?

Up the creek without a paddle, by the looks of it!

The Golf petrol mHEV has emissions of 117 g/km, as high as the diesel.

Volkswagen Golf Hatch Match in blue, featuring a 1.5 eTSI engine, 150 PS, 7-speed DSG. CO2 emissions rated at 117 g/km.

Clearly there is no future for cars like these under the 2035 targets.

Someone, by the way, mentioned the Prius. This has an emissions rating of 36 g/km, still way above the EU’s 2035 Directive, which equates to about 11 g/km.

A yellow Toyota Prius driving on a road with a scenic mountainous background.
A detailed description of an engine's performance specifications including CO2 emissions of 36 g/km, emphasizing high performance and confidence in driving.

As I mentioned before, plug-in hybrids are of no use to drivers who don’t have off street parking. They are not going to queue up at public EV chargers, where they will be charged a fortune. Instead, they will simply fill up with petrol and drive it just as like an ordinary car. This will of course make a nonsense of the low emission figures claimed.

UK ZEV Mandates & Hybrids

The situation in the UK at the moment is that new hybrids can still be sold after 2030, but only subject to ZEV mandates.

In 2030, fully electric cars must make up at least 80% of sales, leaving 20% for hybrids. However, this hybrid allowance will quickly be cut to the bone, until they are fully phased out in 2035:

Table displaying the UK ZEV Mandate Targets for Cars from 2030 to 2035, outlining minimum ZEV percentage and maximum non-ZEV percentage.

Hybrid sales this year are running at 25%, so there is realistically no long term future for hybrid manufacturers in this country.

They will be able to survive for a couple of years or so, taking advantage of extended credit trading (e.g., rewarding CO₂ savings from hybrids in earlier years).

But the outlook after 2030 is bleak, unless the ZEV mandates are completely cancelled, as the Tories have promised.

A table displaying market data for electric vehicles and hybrids, comparing figures for 2025 and 2024, including the number of BEVs, PHEVs, HEVs, petrol, and diesel vehicles alongside their market shares and percentage changes.
https://www.smmt.co.uk/vehicle-data/car-registrations/


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