New Study Reopens Questions About Our Ability to Meaningfully Assess Global Mean Temperature

World map displaying different climate zones marked in various colors, with labeled oceans.

From No Trick Zone

By Kenneth Richard

“Temperature is an intensive property that is defined only in equilibrium systems and cannot be meaningfully averaged across non-equilibrium systems.” − Cohler, 2025

A 2007 math proofs study that asserted a global mean temperature does not exist in reality (because a temperature average can only be defined in equilibrium systems) has never been disproved.

For example, determining whether a cup of coffee is warming or cooling – and by how much – is entirely dependent on the averaging formula one arbitrarily chooses. In the study 4 averaging methods were chosen to assess change in the average coffee temperature over time. All four were shown to yield different warming vs. cooling results.

A scientific article discussing temperature assessment methods in non-equilibrium systems, featuring mathematical equations and graphs illustrating different averaging techniques.
Image Source: Essex et al., 2007

A new study reopens this debate by reasserting there are “infinite ways to average temperature.” The averaging method chosen in modern “climate science” is arbitrary, non-physical, and yields fundamentally different results vs. other methods.

“Each method produces different numerical results and different [average temperature] trends over time.”

Journal cover of 'Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons' Winter 2025 issue, featuring the article titled 'The Father of Lies Hijacking Climate Science: Global Mean Surface Temperature Does Not Exist' by Jonathan Cohler, B.A.
Image Source: Cohler, 2025

2020 study illustrating this unheralded statistical problem fundamental to modern “climate science” pointed out that a large volume of scientists had calculated the global average surface temperature as ranging from 14.0 to 15.1°C from 1877 to 1913, or approximately 14.5°C.

And yet according to calculations from HadCRUT4, NASA GISS, and Berkeley Earth, the global mean temperature was 14.4°C, 14.5°C, and 14.5°C, respectively, from 1991-2018. In other words, it can be shown that there has been “no change for the past 100 years” in the global mean temperature.

Academic article discussing historical zonal averages of temperatures and their implications for global mean temperature assessments.
Image Source: Kramm et al., 2020


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