New Study: ‘CO2 Does Not Precede Temperature, Nor Does It Control Temperature’

Illustration of Earth with the sun shining in the background, featuring the text 'CO2 Does Not Precede Temperature, Nor Does It Control Temperature'.

From NoTrickZone

By Kenneth Richard

A scenic landscape featuring rolling hills under a clear sky with a bright sun, overlaid with bold yellow text stating, 'carbon dioxide and a warming climate change are no problem.'

More evidence is unleashed undermining the CO2-drives-climate narrative.

A comprehensive correlation analysis (Grabyan, 2025) utilizing the last 2000 years of temperature and CO2 data affirms CO2 changes lag temperature changes by ~150 years throughout the 1 to 1850 C.E. era.

This Common Era (C.E.) lead-lag sequencing – with temperature changes leading and CO2 changes lagging by centuries to millennia – is wholly consistent with the paleo CO2 and temperature proxy (ice core, stomata, borehole, etc.) record spanning the last 20,000 years (Demezhko and Gornostaeva, 2014), 400,000 years (Fischer et al., 1999Mudelsee et al., 2001Monnin et al., 2001Uemura et al., 2018), 66 million years (Frank, 2024), and 420 million years (Koutsoyiannis, 2024).

It is notable that the CO2 changes can be shown to be driven by temperature changes over not only the long-term (centuries), but over short-term periods (months, years) as well (Koutsoyiannis et al., 2023Humlum et al., 2013).

A scholarly article discussing a study on the relationship between atmospheric CO2 and temperature over 2000 years, including data graphs and correlation analysis.
Image Source: Grabyan, 2025

The correlational analyses also reveal changes in temperature may be driven by variations in total solar irradiance (TSI) – especially when using TSI data sets that are not preferred by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Other TSI-temperature correlation studies have drawn the same conclusions (Soon et al., 2015Yndestad and Solheim, 2017Scafetta, 2023)

Graphical analysis of Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) against temperature trends in various regions, highlighting discrepancies in data from rural China, the rural U.S., Ireland, the Arctic Circle, and a Northern Hemisphere composite.
Image Source: Soon et al., 2015


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