Does AEP Think We Will Stop Using Oil & Gas?

A man in a suit holds a megaphone in a dilapidated urban setting with a large banner reading 'NETZOZO' in the background.

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

A headline from an article discussing the future of the North Sea, emphasizing a shift away from oil and gas.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/09/02/north-sea-great-future-kemi-wont-be-oil-and-gas/

AEP criticises Kemi Badenoch’s plan to maximise North Sea oil and gas. As I wrote yesterday, he offers no economic justification for his position. It is purely based on Net Zero dogma.

Instead, he thinks we can rely on wind power and that oil and gas will soon be dead end technologies anyway.

Clearly, he has not read NESO’s Future Energy Scenarios, published a couple of months ago:

According to NESO, the UK will still be using nearly as much natural gas in ten years’ time as we are now –between 71% and 80%, depending on scenario.

Even by 2040, we will still be using at least half as much. And if we go for the hydrogen scenario in a big way, gas consumption will barely fall at all.

Graph showing the Natural Gas Summary with selected options over time from 2023 to 2049, illustrating various scenarios including Hydrogen Evolution, Electric Engagement, Holistic Transition, Ten Year Forecast, and Falling Behind.

Demand for petrol and diesel for transport will also remain strong for at least the next ten years. And the FES does not even look at non-transport use of oil products, which account for nearly half of UK consumption.

Line graph showing projected road transport energy demand (ED5) from 2023 to 2049, with a decreasing trend in TWh for electric engagement.

So where does AEP suggest we get all of this oil and gas?


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