Mid April Arctic Ice Recovery

From Science Matters

By Ron Clutz

The animation compares Arctic ice extents for day 105 for some years between 2007 and 2023.  2011 was close to the 17-year average, while 2007 was one of the lowest in the record.  The images show extensive variation in the Pacific (left) basins of Bering and Okhotsk, where typically the most open water appears. There are also fluctuations on the Atlantic side, Barents (top right) as well as Greenland Sea and Baffin Bay.  Overall there was recovery from 2007 to 2011, then some years of lesser extents before 2023 returns to the 17 year average, as shown in the table later below.

Over the last 30 days, there were gains and then losses, mostly in the Pacific basins.  The effect on NH total ice extents is presented in the graph below.  

The average ice loss is 787k km2 for this period.  While 2023 started 235k km2 in deficit, yesterday it nearly matched the 17-year average. SII showed even lower ice extents in mid March, before matching MASIE at the end.

The table below shows the distribution of sea ice across the Arctic regions.

Region2023105Day 105 Average2023-Ave.20071052023-2007
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere1408885614121549 -32693 13588722500134 
 (1) Beaufort_Sea10709661069753 1214 10686922274 
 (2) Chukchi_Sea966006964603 1403 9616384369 
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea10871371085478 1659 10786668471 
 (4) Laptev_Sea897845893275 4570 84350154344 
 (5) Kara_Sea933845922316 11529 89059443251 
 (6) Barents_Sea609466608807 659 439904169562 
 (7) Greenland_Sea716828649460 67368 67358543243 
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence12125231283822 -71300 1215526-3003 
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago854843852840 2002 8488126031 
 (10) Hudson_Bay12609031246319 14585 120858852315 
 (11) Central_Arctic32470173232496 14521 323564811369 
 (12) Bering_Sea642984647468 -4484 60028142703 
 (13) Baltic_Sea3525845036 -9779 2353411723 
(14) Sea_of_Okhotsk550081614303 -64222 49112158960 

Overall NH extent March 31 was below average by 33k km2, or 0.2%.  The two largest deficits are Sea of Okhotsk and Baffin Bay, partly offset by a surplus in Greenland Sea.  The onset of spring melt is as usual in most regions, with slight surpluses nearly everywhere.


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