A new epidemiology study reports that natural immunity confers better protection against COVID than current vaccines. I’ve been publishing JunkScience.com for 25+ years and can’t think of a single epidemiology study I’ve seen that was worth anything. That has now changed. This study reports that vaccinated individuals were 13 times more likely to have a breakthrough infection than individuals with natural immunity. Assuming the results actually are what they are reported to be, that’s an impressive odds ratio, worthy of being taken seriously. The result also has obvious biologic plausibility. For comparison purposes, the usual epidemiology crap we’ve been debunking for decades generally have meaningless odds ratios on the order of 2.0 or below, often 1.1 and below and even on the order of 1.01 and below (where an odds ratio of 1.0 means no effect). Of course, the study results need to be replicated. But it’s lookin’ good so far.

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August 28, 2021