Tag Archives: Vattenfall

The Climate News at Six

From Climate Scepticism

By JIT

When passing through the kitchen this evening I heard the familiar tones of the BBC’s climate editor floating out of the radio. Naturally I stopped to listen, perhaps putting the odd bit of washing up away as I did so.

Once Rowlatt’s piece for the six o’clock news was finished, the next item…

…was another climate item.

So was the next item.

And the one after that.

In fact, the fifth item after I began listening was the first to be non-climate related; it was about Russia. Four climate stories back to back seemed overkill, even for the BBC. Later, I listened to the programme again, and offer a potted summary of the Climate News at Six below.

It turned out that the first item was in fact about Coutts and Farage. Together with the headlines, this took us to 18.02. Then:

First Climate Item

The government accused of a lackadaisical approach to climate change & increasingly seen as a laggard in tackling global warming. Criticism from 15 experts involved in COP26; their letter to Rishi; doubts about achieving the 1.5°C target; the news comes as extreme heatwaves, wildfires and floods effect millions of people across Europe, the US and Asia.

Climate Editor Justin Rowlatt reports; brings on Prof. Sir Bob Watson, who says we are on for 2.5°C.

Lord Stern says that at 2.5 and 3°C we are talking about hundreds of millions, possibly billions of people moving, southern Europe like the Sahara, much of Bangladesh, Florida and so on underwater; deplores the coal mine permission, the gas licenses, the lack of urgency on insulation.

Lord Deben urges the government to come clean – to stop saying they are leading when they aren’t; they can pull the position back before the general election; asks for a recommitment to Glasgow.

Spokesperson for DESNZ says UK is leading the way on Net Zero.

Second Climate Item

Norfolk Boreas cancelled; Vattenfall says it’s too expensive.

Environment Correspondent Jonah Fisher reports: the price of leccy generated by wind has fallen dramatically; now much cheaper than using fossil fuels like gas.

Boreas obtained a contract last year for up to 1.4 GW of electricity, =Manchester equivalent.

Claims costs have risen by 40% since: supplier cost, labour cost, cost of borrowing. [No mention that the contract obtained is index-linked.]

Third Climate Item

Dundee battery factory about to go bankrupt; asks for investment.

Fourth Climate Item

CO2 levels could be significantly lowered [sic] removing the equivalent of 8 million cars from the UK’s roads, if less meat was eaten. Oxford U survey of 55,000 people.

Science Correspondent Pallab Ghosh reports: those who eat >100 g of meat a day generate 10 kg/CO2/d, while those who eat 50 g of meat a day generate 5 kg/CO2/d. [See what they did there?]

Prof. Peter Scarborough: The study shows the benefits of big meat eaters cutting back.

Nick Allen, UK Meat Industry Assoc: Get off my lawn. [Note: this seems to be the first occasion that any contrary voice has been heard throughout the programme.]

Ghosh: Britain has some of the most sustainable meat production in the world, 100,000 jobs, etc; Gov’ts National Food Strategy says we all need to eat 30% less meat within ten years to meet our targets for reducing carbon emissions.

[18:09]

Jit: Get off my lawn, National Food Strategy. I’ve been a vegetarian for 30 years.

So there we have it: my summary of the BBC’s Climate News at Six. You may listen to it yourself here.

Featured image:

A tree, by the author.

UK offshore wind is dead in the water – as predicted

From Net Zero Watch

London, 20 July – As one of the world’s biggest windpower developers halts its top UK wind project and warns about further cancellations, Net Zero Watch reminds ministers that they have been warned for years about this inevitable fiasco.

Vattenfall, an international mega-developer of windpower, has put the UK’s giant 1.4 GW offshore wind project Boreas on ice, claiming that rising costs have made the Contract for Difference, awarded last year for £45/MWh (2023 prices), uneconomic (“Key UK offshore wind project axed in blow to climate plans“).

Net Zero Watch, amongst others (see publications listed below), has long warned that the low CfD bids made in the UK had no basis in economic reality. The capital and operating costs of wind power, particularly offshore are still very high. This technology is unattractive and imposes very high system costs when compared to gas generation even at today’s elevated prices. It is completely uneconomic if the gas prices continue to revert to their historic levels.

Net Zero Watch notes that Vattenfall has said it will be considering the future of all is wind projects in the Norfolk zone, with a total of 4.2 GW, placing pressure on the UK government to make extra support available to ensure construction and meet the targets for offshore wind.

Professor Gordon Hughes (University of Edinburgh), the author of many of the studies exposing the reality of wind power costs, said:

It is obvious and now increasingly widely recognised that wind industry claims about costs and performance should not be taken seriously. Very high costs have been clear in the financial data for a long time, and are not the result of recent inflation and supply chain difficulties, though these may be making a bad situation still worse.”

Dr John Constable, NZW’s Energy Director, added:

It is critically important that the UK government does not succumb to the tacit blackmail of Vattenfall’s announcement. The wind experiment has failed. The consumer cannot be expected to continue propping up this unfolding disaster.”

Notes for Editors: Articles and studies on unrealistic offshore wind bids for Contracts for Difference

1. Gordon Hughes, Capell Aris, John Constable, Offshore Wind Strike Prices: Behind the Headlines (GWPF: London, 2017)

2. Gordon Hughes, Who’s the Patsy? Offshore wind’s high-stakes poker game (GWPF: London, 2019

)3. John Aldersey-Williams, Ian D. Broadbent, Peter A. Strachan, “Better estimates of LCOE from audited accounts– A new methodology with examples from United Kingdom offshore wind and CCGT”, Energy Policy, 128 (2019), pp 25-35.

4. Gordon Hughes, Wind Power Economics: Rhetoric and Reality: Volume I: Wind Power Costs in the United Kingdom (Renewable Energy Foundation: 2020).

5. Gordon Hughes, Wind Power Economics: Rhetoric and Reality: Volume II: Wind Power in Denmark (Renewable Energy Foundation: 2020).

6. Andrew Montford, Offshore wind: Cost predictions and cost outcomes (GWPF: London, 2021)

7. Kathryn Porter: Addressing the high real cost of renewable generation (Watt Logic 2022)

—————————————————————————————————————————————–