Tag Archives: Economic recession

Germany’s Wind & Solar Obsessed Energy ‘Policy’ Is National Economic Suicide

Wind turbines operate on an onshore green field site in this aerial photograph taken near Hamburg, Germany, on Tuesday, June 17, 2015. German investor confidence fell for a third month in a sign that risks from a Greek debt default to bond-market turbulence are stoking uncertainty in Europe’s largest economy. Photographer: Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg

STOP THESE THINGS

Germany’s energy ‘policy’ reads like a national suicide pact, one that’s delivered a perfectly predictable power pricing and supply catastrophe. For the crippling prices and routine rationing that’s followed, Germans can thank their purported leaders and their unhinged obsession with chaotically intermittent wind and solar.

Already suffering Europe’s highest power prices, German households and businesses have much worse to come.

German industry was once the envy of its European neighbours. Now, there simply isn’t the electricity available to power it.

Those businesses that have the option, have shuttered their German operations and set up in places like Singapore and the USA where power is always available and at prices that are a fraction of those suffered at home. Others will simply disappear.

As Rachel Bunyan reports, the grand wind and solar ‘transition’ is turning out to be not so grand, after all.

Germany faces electricity shortages and can expect to see industries leave the country due to green energy policy ‘disaster’ that saw nuclear power plants ditched for renewables, business chiefs warn
Daily Mail
Rachel Bunyan
7 June 2023

Germany faces electricity shortages that will see critical industries ditch the country after the government decided to shut down the last remaining nuclear power plants in favour of renewable energy sources, business chiefs have warned.

The head of energy firm RWE said he fears that Germany will face a shortage of electricity that will see prices in the already struggling country soar.

Markus Krebber, 50, warned that this will endanger Germany’s ‘competitiveness’ as an industrial hub, meaning companies will be driven out of the country, taking much needed jobs with them.

‘Germany’s prosperity is based on strong industry,’ Krebber told BILD. ‘A scarce energy supply leads to high prices – this endangers the competitiveness of Germany as an industrial location. We are seeing the first signs of de-industrialisation.’

His stark warning follows the shock news that Germany has fallen into recession – unlike Brexit Britain’s economy which is expected to grow by 0.4 per cent in 2023 and is set to avoid a similar downturn.

German energy chiefs have blamed the country’s poor outlook on the government’s green energy ‘disaster’ that has seen the last remaining nuclear power plants shut down. Instead, the focus is now on renewable energy supplies from solar and wind sites.

But the intermittent nature of these green energy sources, which leaves them susceptible to sudden drops during cloudy or windless periods, means Germany’s electricity system remains vulnerable to electricity shortages and price volatility.

Krebber warned that this could have a devastating impact on Germany’s industries that are trying in vain to prop up the country’s flailing economy.

‘As an industrial location, Germany has a serious problem: We don’t have as much energy available as we need,’ Krebber told Focus. ‘This gap leads to high prices and thus to justified concerns about competitiveness.’

This is all playing into the hands of Germany’s far-right parties, with the Alternative for Germany (AfD)’s popularity surging in the polls over its criticism of what it calls a costly green agenda.

The AfD, which disputes that human activity is a cause of climate change, has tapped into concerns among some voters about the cost of the transition away from fossil fuels.

AfD leader Tino Chrupalla said more voters appreciated that the policies of the Greens, Scholz’s junior coalition partner which wants a swifter shift away from hydrocarbons, brought ‘economic war, inflation and de-industrialisation.’

‘We are the only party that would not form a coalition with these dangerous Greens,’ he said.

Christian Kullmann, CEO of the chemical group Evonik, joined Krebber in criticising what he called the government’s ‘energy policy disaster’ and warned of its impact on Germany’s industries.

‘In Germany we pay the world’s highest prices for electricity and energy, and every industry, every economy lives and depends on a reasonable, inexpensive, available energy supply,’ Kullmann, 54, said.

Kullman warned that Germany, which has historically been a hub for engineering, will see bulk goods no longer being manufactured in the country.

‘We will probably say goodbye to these industries here in the near future – and it won’t be too long at all,’ Kullman said in a stark warning. ‘Germany is under pressure as a business location.’

Roland Farnung, 82, the former CEO of RWE, added: ‘The energy policy now adopted by the federal government is practically an operation on the open heart of society with considerable risks for German companies and the jobs located here.’

In order to combat Germany’s vulnerability to electricity shortages, Krebber says there must be a ‘massive investment’ in green energies. But even with this investment, Germany’s power producers must continue to retool the country’s entire power system at a record pace.

Krebber said: ‘The will and money are there for [investments in green energies]. In order for investments to actually be made, a reliable framework is needed in the long term that creates incentives instead of setting hurdles.’

And some experts say Germany will have to go back to nuclear eventually if it wants to phase out fossil fuels and reach its goal of becoming greenhouse gas-neutral across all sectors by 2045 as wind and solar energy will not fully cover demand.

‘By phasing out nuclear power, Germany is committing itself to coal and gas because there is not always enough wind blowing or sun shining,’ said Rainer Klute, head of pro-nuclear non-profit association Nuklearia.

The German government has dismissed such concerns, arguing that thanks to Europe’s integrated electricity network, Germany can import energy when needed while remaining a net exporter.

But the German business chiefs still warn that Germany could face a shortage of electricity that will see businesses flee – and such a move will be detrimental to Germany’s struggling economy.

Indeed, last month it was revealed that Germany was in a recession after the country suffered an unexpected dip in the first quarter of the year.

Germany’s gross domestic product (GDP) fell by 0.3 per cent in the period from January to March, data released by the Federal Statistical Office showed.

The figures come as a major blow to Germany’s government, which had boldly doubled its growth forecast for this year after a feared winter energy crunch failed to materialise.

The government predicted that GDP will grow by 0.4 per cent – up from a 0.2 per cent expansion predicted in late January – a forecast that will now likely need to be revised downwards.

German newspaper Bild reported that the country’s economy had already ‘collapsed’ by 0.5 per cent in the winter quarter of 2022.

It comes as the International Monetary Fund was forced to admit it had miscalculated its prognosis of the post-Brexit British economy, which is now set to avoid recession, despite doom and gloom from Remainers who portrayed EU membership as an economic necessity.

The foundation now expects the UK’s economy to grow by 0.4 per cent in 2023, despite declaring just last month it would contract by 0.3 per cent.
Daily Mail

Biden’s Gift to the Climate Movement – A Deep Economic Recession?

Watts Up With That?

Essay by Eric Worrall

President Biden, image modified. AFGECC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

h/t ResourceGuy – As key economic indicators redline, greens who believe the key to addressing climate change is economic “degrowth” might be about to get their wish.

US Bank Lending Slumps by Most on Record in Final Weeks of March

Alex Tanzi
Sat, April 8, 2023 at 8:06 AM GMT+10·

(Bloomberg) — US bank lending contracted by the most on record in the last two weeks of March, indicating a tightening of credit conditions in the wake of several high-profile bank collapses that risks damaging the economy.

Most Read from Bloomberg

Commercial bank lending dropped nearly $105 billion in the two weeks ended March 29, the most in Federal Reserve data back to 1973. The more than $45 billion decrease in the latest week was primarily due to a a drop in loans by small banks.

The pullback in total lending in the last half of March was broad and included fewer real estate loans, as well as commercial and industrial loans.

Friday’s report also showed commercial bank deposits dropped $64.7 billion in the latest week, marking the 10th-straight decrease that mainly reflected a decline at large firms.

The slide in lending follows the collapse of several firms including Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank.

The banking crisis has made a recession more likely, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s Jamie Dimon. The bank’s chief executive officer said in an annual letter that the failures have “provoked lots of jitters in the market and will clearly cause some tightening of financial conditions as banks and other lenders become more conservative.”

…Read more: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-bank-lending-slumps-most-210839551.html

Why am I talking up the risk of an imminent recession?

My concern is so much of what Biden has done to date has made things worse. As inflation rose, Biden passed the misnamed “Inflation Reduction Act“, pouring fuel on the inflation fire. The Biden administration remains committed to wrecking the USA’s extractive industries, with nuisance bureaucratic attackspermit cancellationsexcessive regulation, and lease auction suspensions, deferrals or cancellations. And their blanket guarantee of bank deposits, while reducing the risk of further bank runs in the short term, has increased moral hazard and the risk of large scale resource misallocation, by leaving badly managed banks which should be allowed to fail in the hands of incompetents and criminals.

At every economic inflexion point I can think of, the approach of the Biden administration has been short term and reactive rather than strategic. For example, their decision to drain just under half the strategic oil reserve, without doing anything substantial to improve US oil production and energy security, lowered pump prices a little in the short term, but did nothing to address the underlying problems.

It is not too late. If the US government pulled back on excessive spending, stopped sucking bond markets dry with their debt funded climate extravagances, and did everything in their power to ease restrictions on drilling, to lower the cost of energy and defuse the ticking inflation bomb, confidence could be restored. The US economy might be able to grow its way out of the inflation trap, without raising interest rates and taxes to economy killing levels.

Over to you, President Biden.