A simple proposal to isolate the impact of CO2

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By Joe Bastardi

Sea surface temperature (SST) did not increase appreciably from 1951 to 1990.

1981 to 1990

with a marked increase in SST as underwater seismic activity increased

Most recent decade

increase in underwater seismic activity

there is a way to approximate how much, if any, CO2 has contributed to the warming

1) Quantify the change in atmospheric water vapor over the last 40 years

2) correlate that to the change in temperatures based on the increase of grams/kg of wv in the atmosphere

This is why I am so gung ho on water vaport (WV). THE MAJOR INCREASE SHOWS UP IN THE COLDEST DRIEST AREAS. 

 So if we can approximate the increase of WV ( we should have been tracking this religiously as it explains temperatures. Temperatures are a poor climate metric Wet bulb temperatures are much better and saturation mixing ratios are best) it will be able to explain much of the warming. What is left over is CO2

We have no correlation between CO2 and temperature.

We have water vapor and temperature  ( saturation mixing ratio). We have been tracking the increase in CO2.    It seems that makes little sense if you are not tracking the increase in water vapor since we can correlate it to temperature changes at different temperatures. We can not do that with CO2.  So it leaves us with people pushing an agenda and not even showing the major elephant in the room.

It comes down to this, How much water vapor is in the air now compared to 40 years ago?   

Once you approximate that, you then look at changes in temperature relative to that.  Since for instance .1gram’/kg is correlated with a 10-degree rise at -40F. but it takes 90x more at 85 degrees, with the increase in water vapor having to be greater to affect temperatures the higher the temperature goes,  one can figure out what the average increase grams/kg is across the planet and then apply it to the temperature. You can’t do that for CO2. No weather is driven by CO2. 

The next logical step is to ask where the source of the WV is.  It’s the ocean.  Why are the oceans warming? 

The answer that it is because of co2 makes no sense given we don’t even have a temperature correlation to it, Its assumed and force-fed down people’s throat without even adding in another natural cause, and one that I suspect is purposely ignored or dismissed because of what it may reveal.

Why should you not be skeptical of CO2 induced warming when 1) there is no attempt to quantify and correlate the increase in the most important GHG, water vapor?. 2) There is no attempt to explain the oceanic warming, other than blaming it somehow on the very CO2 that takes a back seat to Water Vapor in the first place.

So figure out the rise due to the ocean warming. There is no way that if the oceans were as cold as 40 years ago we would have had the warming we have had.  I suspect whatever is leftover  can arguably be attributed to man but would be so small it would blow the whole man-made climate change agenda out of the water

Which is what these underwater volcanoes, if we research them, may do in the first place.


  • Joe BastardiJoe Bastardi
  • Joe Bastardi is a pioneer in extreme weather and long-range forecasting.
  • He is the author of “The Climate Chronicles: Inconvenient Revelations You Won’t Hear From Al Gore — and Others” which you can purchase at the CFACT bookstore.
  • His new book The Weaponization of Weather in the Phony Climate war can be found here. phonyclimatewar.com