Renewables Repeat: Weather Event Wipes Out Australia’s Wind & Solar Capital (Once Again)

South Australia’s infamous Statewide blackout on 28 September 2016 was caused by wind turbines that couldn’t handle a vigorous spring storm front. Wind speeds exceeded 25m/s (90km/h), which meant turbines at the bulk of its (then 18) wind farms shut down automatically to protect themselves from catastrophic self-destruction.

Metropolitan Adelaide was without power for hours, regional centres without power for days and mines in the north of the state were without power for close to a fortnight. The cost to businesses and households – first estimated to be in the order of $367 million – was all thoroughly avoidable.

This is a state that trashed its perfectly reliable coal-fired power plants at Port Augusta, closed in May 2016, and blown up in November 2017, with its Labor Premier and MPs exultant at the result.

Well, in another ‘we told you so moment’, thousands of South Australians have been left without power for days after another spring weather event.

The causes are a little different this time around, but the consequences are much the same. Again, central to the chaos is SA’s delusional reliance upon sunshine and breezes.

The team from Jo Nova fill in the details.

Renewable South Australia Islanded, flying by the seat of their pants, afraid of a solar surge on a sunny day
Jo Nova Blog
Jo Nova
16 November 2022

The biggest blackout has hit South Australia since the statewide crash of 2016. It’s due to a weather calamity, but the renewables state is struggling to keep the frequency stable for a whole week without the rest of the national grid to lean on. This time they have the backup generation, but they’re going to great lengths now to stop the surges from solar and wind — there’s nowhere to dispose of excess electricity…

On Saturday afternoon a storm system blitzed out 423,000 lightning strikes and brought down some 500 lines, including the Heywood interconnector that joins South Australia (SA) to Victoria. That is out of action until Friday, so for a whole week the Star Renewables State of South Australia is on its own — Islanded from the national grid. The test is here, and right now at 6am they’re running on 80% fossil fuels and 18% wind, plus millions of dollars has been spent on frequency control, and they’re trying to turn off the solar panels.

The storm caused blackouts affecting 163,000 customers or roughly 18% of the state. Power was restored for most within hours, but there were still 35,000 properties without electricity on Monday, and some still out tonight (late Tuesday).

So the fragile grid teeters on. But the first thing the renewable energy star state had to do was dump their solar power because it threatened to push the system over. The highest risk moment they are worried about now is midday Thursday, because it looks like being a sunny day. Oh, the woe!

Too much solar power for grid stability?

At the time the tower fell about 400MW of electricity was flowing out of SA into Victoria. But afterwards there was suddenly an oversupply of energy in SA that couldn’t go anywhere and the frequency surged far outside the normal range.

Not only did SA Power Networks (SAPN) cut off all the panels that they could remotely control, but they even put out a facebook plea for South Australians to manually disconnect their own panels — something Paul McArdle of WattClarity doesn’t think he has ever seen before.

Indeed, the idea has been floated that SAPN may be sending voltage spikes down the line specifically to trigger the automatic cut-off’s and trip the solar panels. It’s not clear if this is the case, so it may be something else, but people are reporting voltage spikes of 255V or higher and lasting for four hours and McArdle asked the question.

Mark Jessop has noted that: ‘SAPN appears to be increasing line voltages to cause PV inverters to trip out. Interesting decision, but I’m not sure what other options they would have (probably not enough systems which are remotely controllable yet).’

Below is a suspicious voltage jump on Monday, with Mark Jessop saying that “even though it was cloudy today I guess there was enough generation for @SAPowerNetworks to have to do the voltage step thing again…”

If it is deliberate, it would be a Wild West story in grid “control”. We know high voltages above 253 trip out solar panels, but they also damage other appliances too. If they need to create “demand” they could always ask everyone to turn their air conditioners and ovens on at midday? Dear South Australians, help the state and press Go on your pyrolytic ovens at noon….

This has left some solar power owners feeling somewhat vexed and perplexed and downright deflated — they’re sitting in the dark, and with a Tesla powerwall, yet they can’t use their solar panels at all, and their neighbors have the lights on with diesel generators…

It’s a long thread of comments on Facebook… (for anyone with a Tesla battery, apparently you can switch it to “off grid mode” in a blackout.)

And some people thought solar panels meant they were less dependent on the grid, but it turns out the grid controllers were just renting their roof space.

One of the lessons in this experience is what happens when the renewable states can’t dump their excess power in the state next door. When every state is in the same boat, and all running unreliable renewables, they will all still need complete back up and the ability to switch off your solar panels.

This week, frequency is everything in South Australia
South Australia struggles to keep the frequency stable after they are disconnected with the bigger and more stable Australian grid.

Thanks to Dan Lee at WattClarity: this was the first hour of frequency gyrations:

South Australia was really struggling to control the frequency of the grid after the Islanding.

Allan O”Neill notes the astonishing prices in the Frequency Control Ancillary Service (FCAS) market.

FCAS driving the island?
Watt Clarity
Allan O’Neill
13 November 2022

So here we see that all that FCAS volatility since separation has driven big chunks of revenue for suppliers in the region…

Watt Clarity

Keeping the grid stable is earning good money for some. In the chart below the batteries like Hornsdale or Dalrymple are bringing in big dollars but not producing much in the way of megawatts. The gas generators are obvious because they are… generating. So, wholesale prices for electricity haven’t gone through the roof this week in SA (much) but gas generators are making money in FCAS payments to keep the grid stable. That’s a nice $400 – $900 /MWh for them. Not too shabby. But a killer for the customers, and a hopeless long-term solution.

But clearly South Australia isn’t remotely ready to cut the cord and go 100% renewable either.

Once upon a time no one needed an FCAS market because we had so many giant turbines. Now we have almost as many giant turbines, but we also have a whole lot of small unreliable generators too. Twice the infrastructure! We don’t need the unreliables, and if we cut them out we wouldn’t need the FCAS market either.

Jo Nova Blog


November 21, 2022, by stopthesethings 

Renewables Repeat: Weather Event Wipes Out Australia’s Wind & Solar Capital (Once Again) — STOP THESE THINGS