Why did Mars dry out? Carbon dioxide loss not a factor, say scientists

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Mars from NASA’s Hubble Space Telescope

The hunt is now on for the offending ‚missing ingredient‘: „Carbon dioxide is a strong greenhouse gas, so it really was the leading candidate to explain the drying out of Mars,“ said Kite, an expert on the climates of other worlds. „But these results suggest it’s not so simple.“ The article calls this ‚unusual‘, but is what it considers usual really so?
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Mars once ran red with rivers, says Phys.org.

The telltale tracks of past rivers, streams and lakes are visible today all over the planet.

But about three billion years ago, they all dried up—and no one knows why.

„People have put forward different ideas, but we’re not sure what caused the climate to change so dramatically,“ said University of Chicago geophysical scientist Edwin Kite. „We’d really like to understand, especially because it’s the only planet we definitely know changed from habitable to uninhabitable.“

Kite is the first author of a new study that examines the tracks of Martian rivers to see what they can reveal about the history of the planet’s water and atmosphere.

Previously, many scientists had assumed that losing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, which helped to keep Mars warm, caused the trouble.

But the new findings, published May 25 in Science Advances, suggest that the change was caused by the loss of some other important ingredient that maintained the planet warm enough for running water.

But we still don’t know what it is.

Water, water everywhere, and not a drop to drink

In 1972, scientists were astonished to see pictures from NASA’s Mariner 9 mission as it circled Mars from orbit. The photos revealed a landscape full of riverbeds—evidence that the planet once had plenty of liquid water, even though it’s dry as a bone today.

Since Mars doesn’t have tectonic plates to shift and bury the rock over time, ancient river tracks still lie on the surface like evidence abandoned in a hurry.

This allowed Kite and his collaborators, including University of Chicago graduate student Bowen Fan as well as scientists from the Smithsonian Institution, Planetary Science Institute, California Institute of Technology Jet Propulsion Laboratory, and Aeolis Research, to analyze maps based on thousands of pictures taken from orbit by satellites.

Based on which tracks overlap which, and how weathered they are, the team pieced together a timeline of how river activity changed in elevation and latitude over billions of years.

Then they could combine that with simulations of different climate conditions, and see which matched best.

Planetary climates are enormously complex, with many, many variables to account for—especially if you want to keep your planet in the „Goldilocks“ zone where it’s exactly warm enough for water to be liquid but not so hot that it boils.

Heat can come from a planet’s sun, but it has to be near enough to receive radiation but not so near that the radiation strips away the atmosphere. Greenhouse gases, such as carbon dioxide and methane, can trap heat near a planet’s surface.

Water itself plays a role, too; it can exist as clouds in the atmosphere or as snow and ice on the surface. Snowcaps tend to act as a mirror to reflect away sunlight back into space, but clouds can either trap or reflect away light, depending on their height and composition.

Kite and his collaborators ran many different combinations of these factors in their simulations, looking for conditions that could cause the planet to be warm enough for at least some liquid water to exist in rivers for more than billion years—but then abruptly lose it.

But as they compared different simulations, they saw something surprising. Changing the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere didn’t change the outcome. That is, the driving force of the change didn’t seem to be carbon dioxide.

„Carbon dioxide is a strong greenhouse gas, so it really was the leading candidate to explain the drying out of Mars,“ said Kite, an expert on the climates of other worlds. „But these results suggest it’s not so simple.“

Full article here.

via Tallbloke’s Talkshop

May 31, 2022, by oldbrew