By Paul Homewood

h/t various!

The BBC/Met Office have wheeled out their latest bit of propaganda:

The UK is already undergoing disruptive climate change with increased rainfall, sunshine and temperatures, according to scientists.

The year 2020 was the third warmest, fifth wettest and eight sunniest on record, scientists said in the latest UK State of the Climate report.

No other year is in the top 10 on all three criteria.

The experts said that, in the space of 30 years, the UK has become 0.9C warmer and 6% wetter.

The report’s lead author Mike Kendon, climate information scientist at the UK Met Office, told BBC News: “A lot of people think climate change is in the future – but this proves the climate is already changing here in the UK.

“As it continues to warm we are going to see more and more extreme weather such as heatwaves and floods.”

Scientists warn of worse extreme weather if global temperatures rise and politicians fail to curb carbon emissions.

The report says the UK has become hotter, sunnier and rainier:

  • 2020 was the third warmest UK year since 1884; all the years in the top 10 are since 2002
  • Last year was one of the least snowy on record; any snow mainly affected upland and northern areas
  • Spring 2020 was the UK’s sunniest on record, and sunnier than most UK summers.
  • 2020 was the UK’s fifth wettest year; six of the 10 wettest years have been since 1998

Quite why extra sunshine is disruptive I have no idea. Nor, for that matter, why climate change would cause the sun to shine more.

But what about the substantive issues?

2020 was the third warmest UK year since 1884; all the years in the top 10 are since 2002

Every year, the Met Office try to con the public with these sort of claims. The truth, which they are desperately trying to conceal, is that UK temperatures stopped rising in 2006.

If they were to admit this pertinent fact, all of their scare stories about the future would be shown to be so much nonsense.

Yes, the UK climate did warm up during the 1980s and 90s, but we are now in a stable position, with no indication that temperatures will resume their rise.

 2020 was the UK’s fifth wettest year; six of the 10 wettest years have been since 1998

When you analyse the data, however, you find that this increasing trend in rainfall is confined mainly to Scotland:

In England & Wales, it is a totally different picture.

Last year was only the 19th wettest on record, and only two of the 10 wettest years have occurred since 1960:

Long term trends show that there have been other periods which were just as wet as the last decade; for instance, the 1770s, 1870/80s, and 1920s. What we see is natural variability.

One reason for the recent increasing trend is the absence of extremely dry years, which have frequently plagued the country in the past. Maybe the BBC does not think these droughts were “disruptive”?

The Met Office naturally want you to believe that the climate will get warmer and more extreme. For instance:

Liz Bentley, head of the Royal Meteorological Society, said that even if governments could achieve the challenging outcome of limiting global temperature rise to 1.5C – which looks very unlikely – that would still lead to a 10% increase in the amount of water the air can hold.

“In the UK,” she said, “we are likely to see temperatures of 40C. As we get 1.5C warming, that’ll be something we see on a regular basis.

“People don’t realise that even a small temperature rise of 0.1 or 0.2 degrees overall can make a huge difference – especially in the frequency and intensity of extreme events.

But there is nothing in the data which actually supports this conjecture. On the contrary, everything indicates that things will carry on pretty much the same as they are now.


July 29, 2021