By Paul Homewood
It’s amazing how global warming seems to make everything worse!
Yet another junk study from the climate change factory:
Climate change is causing hurricanes that make landfall to take more time to weaken, reports a study published 11th November 2020 in leading journal, Nature.
The researchers showed that hurricanes that develop over warmer oceans carry more moisture and therefore stay stronger for longer after hitting land. This means that in the future, as the world continues to warm, hurricanes are more likely to reach communities farther inland and be more destructive.
„The implications are very important, especially when considering policies that are put in place to cope with global warming,“ said Professor Pinaki Chakraborty, senior author of the study and head of the Fluid Mechanics Unit at the Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (OIST). „We know that coastal areas need to ready themselves for more intense hurricanes, but inland communities, who may not have the know-how or infrastructure to cope with such intense winds or heavy rainfall, also need to be prepared.“
Many studies have shown that climate change can intensify hurricanes – known as cyclones or typhoons in other regions of the world – over the open ocean. But this is the first study to establish a clear link between a warming climate and the smaller subset of hurricanes that have made landfall.
The scientists analyzed North Atlantic hurricanes that made landfall over the past half a century. They found that during the course of the first day after landfall, hurricanes weakened almost twice as slowly now than they did 50 years ago.
My first reaction is why pick a 50-year comparison?
It is well established that Atlantic hurricanes tend to be more severe during the warm phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, which started in 1995.
The cherry picked 50-year time span of course begins at the start of the cold phase. Why did not the researchers go back to the previous warm period between 1930 and 1960?
To make matters worse, however, hurricane expert Ryan Maue has found some serious errors in the paper:
He goes onto to analyse that rash of outliers, and finds things are not quite as have been represented. For instance, Hurricane Bonnie:
He finds similar problems with the rest, and concludes that when these are omitted, the claimed trend disappears:
This paper is typical of so many climate change papers nowadays. Researchers, fed with massive grants, decide what they are going to find, and then massage the data to get the right conclusions.
via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
November 12, 2020 at 11:57AM