Despite decades of doom-and-gloom prophecies, Greenland’s Ice Sheet is currently GAINING record amounts of “mass,” and has been doing so since 2016.
Using the daily output from a weather forecasting model combined with a model that calculates melt of snow and ice, the DMI calculate the “surface mass budget” (SMB) of the ice sheet. This budget takes into account the balance between snow that is added to the ice sheet, melting snow, and glacier ice that runs off into the ocean totaled over the course of a year (from September 1 to August 31).
The ice sheet also loses ice by the breaking off, or “calving”, of icebergs from its edge, but that is not included in this type of budget. Calving events usually occur when an ice sheet is expanding, not shrinking. Furthermore, icebergs breaking off a glacier aren’t necessarily “lost” to the ocean, they can continue existing like some island extension of the sheet–serving as an example is Antarctica’s A68 iceberg which is currently on a “collision path with Georgia”.
On the back of substantial SMB gains over the past few years, the Greenland ice sheet looks set to continue that trend in 2020-21. Yesterday’s monster growth at the southern portion of the island (shown below as the blue line) is unprecedented for November–or almost unprecedented, as rivaling yesterday’s record spike is last year’s which occurred a few days later, in mid-Nov, 2019 (shown below as the grey line).
On November 9, 2020, the world’s largest island added a truly astonishing 10 billion tonnes to its ice sheet (or 10 gigatonnes). To put that into perspective, 10 billion tonnes corresponds to 10 cubic kilometres (km3) of water — 10 km3 is a cube with sides measuring 10 km in length.
According to climate alarmists, this sort of growth simply shouldn’t be happening in a warming world. Although, it might as well not be happening to be honest — facts like this never receive mainstream media attention, meaning alarmists are NEVER privy to the full and un-alarming picture.
Contrary to the myriad of MSM melting prophesies, conditions have taken this year’s SMB comfortably above the 1981-2010 mean (see bottom chart).
The gains add to the impressive growth witnessed since 2016:
For the 2016-17 SMB year, the Greenland ice sheet gained 544 billion tonnes of ice (compared to the 1981-2010 average of 368bn tonnes). The season was the fifth highest in books dating back to 1981 (with the highest being the 619bn tonnes gained in 1995-96: solar minimum of cycle 22). Even taking into account calving, the year still wound-up with a positive Total Mass Budget (TMB).
For 2017-18, the DMI calculated a total SMB of 517bn tonnes, which is almost 150bn tonnes above the 1981-2010 average, ranking just behind the 2016-17 season as sixth highest on record (by contrast, the lowest SMB in the record was 2011-2012 with just 38bn tonnes).
DMI estimates that the surface of the ice sheet gained 169bn tonnes during 2018-19. This total is certainly on the low end, but still within the 1981-2010 average and comfortably above 2011-12’s 38bn tonnes.
The 2019-20 SMB year (which ended Aug 31, 2020), has reversed the relatively low gains of 2018-19. A total of 349bn tonnes was added to the ice sheet, levels nearing the 1981-2010 average of 368bn tonnes. The DMI described the year as “normal”, and the gains look to have gotten things back on track to the post 2012 trend of growth.
We’re barely ten weeks into the 2020-21 season but, as touched on above, SMB gains have started in record-fashion. Looking ahead to Aug 31, 2021 -and so to the end of the season- gains north of 500bn tonnes, as occurred in 2016-17 and 2017-18, are a real possibility.
You heard it here first.
Also worth noting, the period 2003-2011 saw ice sheet losses on Greenland average 234bn tonnes each year. Since then though, the tide has started turning, the trend is changing, climate is cyclic, after all — never linear.
Further supporting this stance is the Watson River “Runoff” chart (shown below). Meltwater from approximately 12000 km2 of the ice sheet drains into the Watson River, making it a good barometer for the “health” of the glacier.
Since 2006, the water flowing through the Watson has been measured every hour. In the figure below, the hourly discharge is converted into annual discharge. The blue dots show the amount of water in km3, and the black lines indicate the uncertainty of the measurements.
As is clearly visible, runoff (or “discharge”) from the ice sheet as been decreasing since around 2010.
Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.
Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift