Clearlake California, Cobb Mt. Geysers Earthquake Swarm, Larger Quake Coming?

Washington Post, Here Is the Truth About California Wildfires

By H. Sterling Burnett -October 23, 2020

The Washington Post has published an article, “How Escalating Climate Change Fuels California’s Infernos,” that asserts false claims about climate change without providing any meaningful supporting evidence. Data indicate natural conditions and poor land management practices are the main causes of this year’s California wildfires. Climate change is not a factor.

The Post article asserts climate change is causing a “megadrought” in the southwestern United States that is “intensifying western wildfires.” According to the Post, these western wildfires made the wildfire years from 2000 to 2018 “the worst since the 16th century.” Real-world evidence, however, contradicts the claim.

The United States, including the southwestern United States, has not been experiencing record drought in recent years. As reported in Climate at a Glance: Drought, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports with “high confidence” that precipitation has increased over mid-latitude land areas of the Northern Hemisphere (including the United States) during the past 70 years. IPCC also has “low confidence” about any negative precipitation trends occurring globally.

Moreover, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) reports America is currently is undergoing its longest period in recorded history with less than 40 percent of the country experiencing “very dry” conditions. Also, the United States in 2017 – and then again in 2019 – registered its smallest percentage of land area experiencing drought.

Figure 1: Percentage of United States experiencing “very wet” (in green) and “very dry” (in yellow) conditions. Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/temp-and-precip/uspa/wet-dry/0.

In recent months, Climate Realism has repeatedly debunked claims that the western United States is in the midst of a mega-drought. See, for example, herehere, and here.

Because drought is the primary climate component that would affect wildfires, it is not surprising to find real-world data show the number of wildfires and acres burned have declined over the past 70 years.

As reported in Climate at a Glance: Wildfires, long-term data from the U.S. National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC) show wildfires have dramatically declined in number and severity in recent decades. Reporting data on U.S. wildfires from as far back as 1926, NIFC documents that the number of acres annually burned recently is only1/4th to 1/5th of the annual acres burned in the 1930s.

It has been more than a century since California experienced wildfires of the magnitude it has suffered in 2020. But research published in  the journal Forest Ecology and Management reported that prior to European colonization in the 1800s, more than 4.4 million acres of California forest and shrub-land burned annually. And those huge wildfires came when the earth was cooler than today.

Data from NOAA also falsified the Post’s claims that California’s nighttime temperatures have increased dramatically and that moisture has declined.

If not climate change, then what is responsible for the size and intensity of the wildfires in California and other western states this year? The answer can be found in the headline of a recent NBC story, “Decades of mismanagement led to choked forests — now it’s time to clear them out, fire experts say.” Active forest management declined after Ronald Reagan’s presidency, when environmentalists’ demands that nature be allowed to take its course began to dominate forest management plans.

The results of nearly 40 years of mismanagement are coming home to roost in the form of large, intense wildfires.

“Fires have always been part of our ecosystem,” Mike Rogers, a former Angeles National Forest supervisor and board member of the National Association of Forest Service Retirees told NBC news. “Forest management is a lot like gardening. You have to keep the forest open and thin.”

Indeed, the wildfires burning in the U.S. West in the past few years are more appropriately labeled, “Greenie Fires, Not Climate Fires,” as James Taylor wrote in a recent Climate Realism article discussing the issue.

As Taylor notes, “The reason why wildfires in the U.S. West, and especially in Pacific Coast states, are becoming more severe in recent years is because federal, state, and local governments have followed environmental extremists’ demands that we no longer actively manage our forests.

Proactive forest management requires thinning of forests, prescriptive burns, thinning of underbrush, and removal of dead trees that serve as super-fuel for forest fires.

Environmental extremists have largely blocked these activities during the past 30 in the U.S. West, leading to explosive wildfire conditions that defy global trends.”

The data are clear, the western United States are not in the midst of a mega-drought, nor is it more arid now than historically. And temperatures are only modestly higher now than they were in the late 19th century. Humans are partly to blame for the intense, large wildfires the United States has experienced in recent years, but not because we are causing dangerous climate change. Instead, the fault lies with federal and state governments unwisely ceasing to actively manage fuel loads, even as more and more people have moved into areas historically prone to wildfires.

The post Washington Post, Here Is the Truth About California Wildfires appeared first on Climate Realism.

A Biden/Harris Election Victory Would Be a Disaster (Guest: Steve Milloy)

By H. Sterling Burnett -October 23, 2020

This election presents Americans with a sharp choice, a future of continued economic growth and geopolitical influence based on cheap abundant fossil fuels produced via fracking, or a future of limited or no growth and economic and national insecurity. Heartland’s Steve Milloy says this will occur if Joe Biden shuts down or significantly limits fracking. A Trump/Pence victory helps ensure the former, a Biden/Harris Presidency will likely cement the latter.

H. Sterling BurnettH. Sterling Burnett, Ph.D. is managing editor of Environment & Climate News and a research fellow for environment and energy policy at The Heartland Institute. Burnett worked at the National Center for Policy Analysis for 18 years, most recently as a senior fellow in charge of NCPA’s environmental policy program. He has held various positions in professional and public policy organizations, including serving as a member of the Environment and Natural Resources Task Force in the Texas Comptroller’s e-Texas commission.

The post A Biden/Harris Election Victory Would Be a Disaster (Guest: Steve Milloy) appeared first on Climate Realism.

Caught lying: The #BidenHarris2020 Fossil Fuel Frack Flip Flop

Two-faced Janus. Two male heads in profile, connected by the nape. Stylization of the ancient Roman style. Graphical design. Vector illustration.

If you ever wondered what “say anything” looks like in a political campaign, look no further than this video featured presidential and vice-presidential candidates Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. To me, they looks like Janus. As the god of transitions and dualities, Janus is portrayed with two faces—one facing the past, and one facing the future. 

Make no mistake about it, they’d shut down the country to solve “climate change” while telling you they won’t.

But they have been caught, in the past, Harris said during the VP debate:

Kamala Harris: Joe Biden will not ban fracking. That is a fact

Pence claimed that a Biden administration would “abolish fossil fuels,” “ban fracking” and implement the Green New Deal.

Harris: “Joe Biden will not end fracking. He has been very clear about that,”

Harris also denied that Biden supports the Green New Deal, while attacking the Trump administration’s record on climate change and claiming “they don’t believe in science.”

Liars all around.

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October 24, 2020 at 04:06PM

Maybe voters don’t like the idea of Biden destroying the oil and gas industries

Trump poll numbers rise – Apparently the latest debate proved quite beneficial.

Maybe voters don’t like the idea of Biden destroying the oil and gas industries in the United States.

Maybe automobile owners don’t like the idea of paying double, triple, quadruple for gasoline for their cars. (That’s if gasoline is available at any price.)

Maybe farmers don’t like the idea of paying double, triple, quadruple for fuel for their tractors. (That’s if fuel is available at any price.)

Maybe truckers don’t like the idea of paying double, triple, quadruple for fuel for their trucks. (That’s if fuel is available at any price.

Maybe shoppers don’t like the idea of paying double, triple, quadruple for for their food. (What do you think will happen to the price of food when energy costs skyrocket into the stratosphere?)

Maybe homeowners and apartment dwellers don’t like the idea of paying double, triple, quadruple to heat and cool their dwellings. (That’s if the required energy is available at any price.)

Any “maybes” you’d like to add to this list?

According to the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday, 51% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapprove.

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/current_events/politics/prez_track_oct23

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October 24, 2020 at 03:23PM

Blizzard warning for Montana – Major WINTER storm

Total snow accumulations of 8 to 16 inches. Some areas up to 20 inches. Possible power outages. Near white-out conditions. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Wind temps to minus 25F (-31.7C).

National Weather Service Great Falls MT
151 PM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020

Northern Rocky Mountain Front-Eastern Glacier-Eastern Pondera-Southern Rocky Mountain Front-Eastern Teton

Including Logan Pass, Browning, Heart Butte, Cut Bank, Brady, Conrad, Bynum, Choteau, Augusta, Fairfield, and Dutton

…BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 9 PM SATURDAY…

* WHAT… Total snow accumulations of 8 to 16 inches, with isolated amounts approaching 20 inches in the mountains.. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE…Northern Rocky Mountain Front, Eastern Glacier, Eastern Pondera, Southern Rocky Mountain Front and Eastern Teton.

* WHEN…Until 9 PM MDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult to impossible, especially through early Saturday afternoon. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce
visibility. The cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

………….

Heavy snow headed for Montana – some areas getting up to 20 inches, possible blizzard conditions and wind chills 25 below zero.

National Weather Service Great Falls MT
300 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020

Central and Southern Lewis and Clark-Eastern Pondera-
Southern Rocky Mountain Front-Eastern Teton-Judith Basin-Fergus-Jefferson-Broadwater-Meagher-
Including Logan Pass, Browning, Heart Butte, Cut Bank, Great Falls, Cascade, Belt, Kings Hill Pass, Fort Benton, Carter, Big Sandy, Helena, Flesher Pass, Lincoln, MacDonald Pass,
Rogers Pass, Brady, Conrad, Bynum, Choteau, Augusta, Fairfield, Dutton, Raynesford, Stanford, Hobson, Lewistown, Winifred, Lewistown Divide, Grass Range, Montana City, Boulder, Boulder Hill, Elk Park Pass, Homestake Pass, Whitehall, Toston, Townsend, Winston, Martinsdale, Deep Creek Pass and White Sulphur Springs

…WINTER STORM WARNING TO 9 PM SATURDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 15 inches, with isolated amounts approaching 20 inches in the mountains. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE…Portions of central, north central, southwest and west central Montana.

* IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Near-whiteout conditions are possible tonight through Saturday afternoon. Western facing slopes of the island ranges could see locally reduced snowfall totals due to downsloping.
——————————————————————————————
National Weather Service Missoula MT
404 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020
Lower Clark Fork Region-

…WINTER STORM WARNING TO NOON SATURDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with 12 to 18 inches above 4,000 feet, including Lookout Pass on I-90.

* WHERE…Evaro Hill, Highway 200 Thompson Falls to Plains, Highway 200 Trout Creek to Heron, and I-90 Lookout Pass to Haugan.

* IMPACTS…Travel will be very difficult. The combination of heavy snow and wind may lead to power outages. Blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility.
—————————————————————————————–
National Weather Service Missoula MT
404 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020

Northern Clearwater Mountains-Southern Clearwater Mountains-Bitterroot/Sapphire Mountains-

…WINTER STORM WARNING TO NOON SATURDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches above 5000 feet. Below 5000 feet expect 5 to 10 inches in western Montana and 3 to 8 inches in the Clearwater Mountains of Idaho.

* WHERE…In Montana, the Bitterroot/Sapphire Mountains. In Idaho, Northern Clearwater Mountains and Southern Clearwater Mountains.

* IMPACTS…Travel will be very difficult. Blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility.
——————————————————————————————
National Weather Service Missoula MT
404 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020
Butte/Blackfoot Region-

…WINTER STORM WARNING TO 6 PM SATURDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 9 to 14 inches at pass level, while valleys receive 6 to 10 inches. Winds gusting to 35 mph may cause whiteout conditions.

* WHERE…Butte, Georgetown Lake, Highway 12 Garrison to Elliston, Homestake Pass, and MacDonald Pass.

* IMPACTS…Travel will be very difficult to impossible. Blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. Cold wind chills, as low as 20 below zero, could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.
—————————————————————————————-
National Weather Service Missoula MT
404 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020
Missoula/Bitterroot Valleys-

…WINTER STORM WARNING TO NOON MDT SATURDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches. Widespread wind gusts up to 30 mph, with locally higher wind gusts near the mouth of Hellgate Canyon. From 3 am to noon, blizzard-like conditions may occur in downtown Missoula, Rattlesnake Canyon, and in the northern Bitterroot valley.

* WHERE…Missoula/Bitterroot Valleys.

* IMPACTS…Travel will be very difficult to impossible. Areas of
blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility.

——————————————————————————————
National Weather Service Missoula MT
404 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020
West Glacier Region-

…WINTER STORM WARNING TO NOON MDT SATURDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches in valley areas with 7 to 11 inches between Essex and Marias Pass on US Highway 2. Wind gusts up to 40 mph will create localized blizzard conditions in Bad Rock Canyon between 9 pm and 3 am MDT.

* WHERE…Bad Rock Canyon, Essex, Highway 83 Bigfork to Swan Lake, Marias Pass, and Polebridge.

* IMPACTS…Travel will be difficult. Areas of blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero will cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little
as 30 minutes.
————————————————————————————–
National Weather Service Missoula MT
404 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020
Potomac/Seeley Lake Region-

…WINTER STORM WARNING TO NOON MDT SATURDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches, with 12 to 20 inches above 5000 feet. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE…Highway 200 Bonner to Greenough, Highway 83 Seeley Lake to Condon, and I-90 East Missoula to Bearmouth.

* WHEN…From noon Friday to noon MDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS…Travel will be very difficult. Areas of blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. Cold wind chills, as low as 20 below zero, could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken.
——————————————————————————————
National Weather Service Missoula MT
404 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020
Flathead/Mission Valleys-

…WINTER STORM WARNING TO NOON MDT SATURDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches in the Flathead valley and along Flathead lake. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches in the Mission valley. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph will cause periods of blizzard-like conditions and could produce freezing spray on the southern end of Flathead Lake.

* WHERE…Flathead Lake, Flathead Valley, Mission Valley, and Polson.

* IMPACTS…Travel will be very difficult. Areas of blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility.
—————————————————————————————-
National Weather Service Billings MT
358 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020
Southern Big Horn-Bighorn Canyon-
Including the locations of Lodge Grass, Pryor, and Wyola

…WINTER STORM WARNING TO NOON MDT SUNDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches.

* WHERE…Southern Big Horn and Bighorn Canyon.

* IMPACTS…Blowing snow and poor visibility will make travel very difficult. Expect wind chills to fall below zero by Saturday night.
——————————————————————————————
National Weather Service Billings MT
358 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020
Pryor/Northern Bighorn Mountains-

…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON MDT SUNDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 15 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE…Pryor/Northern Bighorn Mountains.

* IMPACTS…Blowing snow and poor visibility will make travel very difficult. Expect wind chills to fall below zero by Saturday night.

—————————————————————————————-
National Weather Service Billings MT
358 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020

Musselshell-Northern Stillwater-Northern Park-Golden Valley-
Red Lodge Foothills-Judith Gap-Livingston Area-
Beartooth Foothills-Northern Sweet Grass-Northern Carbon-
Melville Foothills-Southern Wheatland-
Including the locations of Roundup, Melstone, Musselshell,
Columbus, Absarokee, Park City, Rapelje, Clyde Park, Wilsall,
Ryegate, Lavina, Red Lodge, Roberts, Roscoe, Judith Gap,
Livingston, Springdale, Fishtail, McLeod, Nye, Big Timber,
Joliet, Fromberg, Melville, Harlowton, Twodot, and Shawmut

…WINTER STORM WARNING TO NOON MDT SUNDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches.

* WHERE…Portions of Central and South Central Montana.

* WHEN…From 6 PM this evening to noon MDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS…Blowing snow and poor visibility could make travel very difficult. Expect wind chills to fall below zero by Saturday night.

—————————————————————————————–
National Weather Service Billings MT
358 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020

Absaroka/Beartooth Mountains-Crazy Mountains-
Including the locations of Cooke City

…WINTER STORM WARNING TO 9 AM MDT SUNDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 18 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE…Absaroka/Beartooth Mountains and Crazy Mountains.

* IMPACTS…Travel will become very difficult to impossible. Blowing snow and wind chills below zero will make outdoor activities dangerous.

—————————————————————————————-
National Weather Service Billings MT
358 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020

Northern Big Horn-Northeastern Yellowstone-
Southwestern Yellowstone-
Including the locations of Hardin, Crow Agency, Busby,
Pompeys Pillar, Custer, Billings, Laurel, Huntley, and Broadview

…WINTER STORM WARNING TO NOON MDT SUNDAY…

* WHAT…Snow expected. Heaviest late tonight through Saturday evening. Total snowfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches.

* WHERE…Northern Big Horn and Yellowstone Counties.

* IMPACTS…Blowing snow and poor visibility on snowpacked roads will make travel very difficult. Expect wind chills to fall below zero by Saturday night.

—————————————————————————————–
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
256 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2020

…SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING…

A major winter storm will impact the area this evening through Saturday evening with significant accumulations of snow possible, particularly in Petroleum County.

Petroleum-Southwest Phillips-
Including the cities of Winnett and Zortman

…WINTER STORM WARNING TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 13 inches.

* WHERE…Petroleum and Southwest Phillips Counties.

* IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult to impossible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Temperatures with this winter storm will be in the teens with wind chills dropping below zero at times. Frostbite can occur within 30 minutes in these conditions.

Thanks to Kenneth Lund for these warnings.

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October 24, 2020 at 02:19PM