Other experts seriously question its accuracy.
The most talked about weather news on Monday was the statement by meteorologist and climatologist Ekaterina Pestryakova about the harsh winter that awaits Russians. The specialist stated this in an interview with URA.ru.
“About 90 percent that the winter will be harsh, because it was a hot summer. The frosts will be serious, but I don’t think they will last all winter, ”Pestryakova said.
This forecast caused bewilderment among fellow meteorologists. Vladimir Semyonov, deputy director of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, questioned both the data analysis method and its accuracy.
“Such forecasts cannot be made, summer conditions do not help us in any way to predict either autumn or winter. With an accuracy of 90%, we make a weather forecast for five days using hydrodynamic models,” the scientist explained in an interview with TASS.
“If a person is not afraid for his reputation, he can say whatever he wants,” said scientific director of the Hydrometeorological Center, Roman Vilfand, who even refused to seriously discuss Pestryakova’s statement.
“In fact, this means that our country has entered a cycle from which it is no longer possible to get out. If it was a hot summer, then there will definitely be a severe winter. If the winter is harsh, then according to signs it will be a very hot summer. And we will never get out of this circle. You can make a decision about the inexpediency of the existence of Hydrometeorological services. For many centuries to come, a forecast has been formulated, why should we suffer, spend state money … If a person is not afraid for his reputation, he can say whatever he wants, ”Vilfand said in an interview with a METEO correspondent.
Thanks to Martin Siebert for this link
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September 1, 2020 at 04:19PM