Arctic Ice Usual June Swoon


Arctic Ice Usual June Swoon

The image above shows melting of Arctic sea ice extent over the month of June 2020.  As usual the process of declining ice extent follows a LIFO pattern:  Last In First Out.  That is, the marginal seas are the last to freeze and the first to melt.  Thus at the top center and right of the image, the Pacific basins of Bering and Okohtsk seas lost what little ice they had.  Meanwhile at extreme left, Hudson Bay ice retreats 300k km2 from north to south.  Note center left Baffin Bay loses 320k km2 of ice during the month.  The most dramatic melting is in the Russian shelf seas at the center right.  Laptev and Kara Seas combined to lose 600k km2 of ice extent. The central mass of Arctic ice is intact with some fluctuations back and forth, and as well Greenland Sea and CAA (Canadian Arctic Archipelago) were slow to melt in June

The graph below shows the ice extent retreating during June compared to some other years and the 13 year average (2007 to 2019 inclusive).

Note that the  MASIE NH ice extent 13 year average loses about 2M km2 during June, down to 9.6M km2. MASIE 2019 started about 500k km2 lower and lost ice at a similar rate, ending nearly 476 km2 below average.  The most interesting thing being the wide divergence between SII and MASIE reports during June, SII starting the month about 500k km2 higher before narrowing at the end to exceed MASIE by 133.  I inquired whether NIC had experienced any measurement issues, but their response indicated nothing remarkable.  It is notable that MASIE is the low estimate of the two.

The table shows where the ice is distributed compared to average.  Bering and Okhotsk are open water at this point and will be dropped from future monthly updates. The deficit of 476k km2 represents 5% of the total, or an ice extent 5 days ahead of average.

Region2020183Day 183 Average2020-Ave.20071832020-2007
(0) Northern_Hemisphere91286159604642 -476028 9269301-140686
(1) Beaufort_Sea982475882878 99597 89185890617
(2) Chukchi_Sea730000703162 26838 63753692464
(3) East_Siberian_Sea8850901014587 -129497 85526729823
(4) Laptev_Sea469839704231 -234392 646683-176844
(5) Kara_Sea274007535421 -261414 596916-322909
(6) Barents_Sea111016106522 4494 9726713749
(7) Greenland_Sea474331498794 -24463 548566-74236
(8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence438007479675 -41668 41428323724
(9) Canadian_Archipelago780765774360 6405 75917721589
(10) Hudson_Bay739422686381 53041 613940125482
(11) Central_Arctic32351743202495 32679 320233032844
(12) Bering_Sea3153673 -3357 981-665
(13) Baltic_Sea04 -4 00
(14) Sea_of_Okhotsk705111237 -4185 29834068

Note that all of the deficit to average is accounted for by the Russian shelf seas of East Siberian, Laptev and Kara. Beaufort and Hudson Bay are slightly surplus.

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth’s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring Arctic ice extents.

via Science Matters

July 2, 2020 at 01:38PM

Author: uwe.roland.gross

Don`t worry there is no significant man- made global warming. The global warming scare is not driven by science but driven by politics. Al Gore and the UN are dead wrong on climate fears. The IPCC process is a perversion of science. View all posts by uwe.roland.gross