Day: 27 June 2020
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June 27, 2020 / World Weather / Earthquakes
Simpsons Virus Forecast From Ten Years Ago
Magnetic field “oscillated like a sine wave” on Tuesday
“Earth’s magnetic field has been quiet,” writes Dr Tony Phillips. “Very quiet. The sun is in the pits of what may turn out to be the deepest Solar Minimum in a century. Geomagnetic storms just aren’t happening.”
And yet…
“That’s why I was so surprised on June 23rd when my instruments picked up a magnetic anomaly,” reports Stuart Green, who operates a research-grade magnetometer in his backyard in Preston UK. “For more than 30 minutes, the local magnetic field oscillated like a sine wave.”
He wasn’t the only one who noticed. In the Lofoten islands of Norway, Rob Stammes detected a similar anomaly on his magnetometer. “It was remarkable,” he says. “Our magnetic field swung back and forth by about 1/3rd of a degree. I also detected ground currents with the same 10 minute period.”
(He detected ground currents! I talk about electrotelluric currents racing through the soil during magnetic reversals in “Not by Fire but by Ice.”)
Earth’s magnetic field was so quiet on June 23rd, the ripple was heard all around the world. INTERMAGNET‘s global network of magnetic observatories picked up wave activity at the same time from Hawaii to China to the Arctic Circle. There’s even a hint of it in Antarctica.
Out of Nowhere, a Global Magnetic Anomaly
Thanks to Dan Welch, Laurel, Benjamin Napier and Perry Debell
“Another sign of magnetic reversal?” asks Perry.
“Not double checked but I think 23rd was around that 7 scale quake? USGS tonight has some hefty 5+ ones a 6+around asia and all are shallow 10ks.
Follow on from this event wouldn’t surprise me,” says Laurel.
The post Magnetic field “oscillated like a sine wave” on Tuesday appeared first on Ice Age Now.
via Ice Age Now
June 27, 2020 at 01:14PM
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Extinction Rebellion Communication Head Quits After Researching Nuclear Power
Guest essay by Eric Worrall
Zion Lights, who featured in WUWT last October when BBC Andrew Neil shredded her defence of Extinction Rebellion on national TV, has quit Extinction Rebellion and defected to the pro-nuclear Environmental Progress group.
Extinction Rebellion spokeswoman Zion Lights quits green movement to become lobbyist for nuclear power saying: ‘I changed my mind’
- Zion, 36, dramatically quit the group to join pro-nuclear Environmental Progress
- Miss Lights said she felt she had been duped by anti-nuke activists around her
- Now she believes the energy source is the future to save the planet
- She became worried about the environment after seeing an advert as a child
PUBLISHED: 01:11 AEST, 26 June 2020 | UPDATED: 01:23 AEST, 26 June 2020
Extinction Rebellion’s spokeswoman has quit the protest group to become a nuclear power campaigner.
Zion Lights, 36, has left the climate change cause, which brought London to a standstill last year, to join pro-nuke outfit Environmental Progress.
…
Mother-of-two Zion said: ‘The facts didn’t really change, but once I understood them I did change my mind.’
…
I’m really impressed at Zion’s courage. It takes a lot of guts to admit you made a mistake, after working hard for the wrong team.
Environmental Progress was founded by Michael Shellenberger, a high profile pro-nuclear environmental campaigner whose no nonsense pragmatic views are frequently praised by WUWT.
Michael Shellenberger wrote the following about Zion leaving XR;
Why Climate Activists Will Go Nuclear—Or Go Extinct
Published on June 25, 2020…
Lights told me she changed her mind after a scientist told her nuclear energy was, in fact, safer than other energy sources. “I said, ‘That’s not what I’ve been told.’ And he said, ‘Don’t just listen to what people tell you.’ And so I looked it up and he was right. The data shows it is safe. And I realized solar panels and batteries are not going to meet demand. The more I read the more I realized, ‘Oh no! These things I believed aren’t true!’”
“I then—perhaps somewhat naively—went to people thinking they’d want to know the truth, and then realizing that they don’t. And that’s always difficult. I really struggled to get Greenpeace to listen to the evidence. At times, they have made things up, disingenuously, and they don’t care! It was like dealing with anti-vaxxers,” she said with a rueful laugh. “I couldn’t deal with it. It was like identity politics. I got fed up.”
Lights said she pushed back against other Extinction Rebellion activists who wanted to promote renewables and criticize nuclear. “When they’re pushing solar, or battery storage, and I say to them ‘I heard that 10 years ago! We have nuclear! We have an option! And what we’ve done is descale all of that and shut it down and look at Germany when they did that! Their emissions went up!’”
…
Read more: https://quillette.com/2020/06/25/why-climate-activists-will-go-nuclear-or-go-extinct/
Zion Lights has appealed to other environmentalists to embrace nuclear power;
A message from a former Extinction Rebellion activist: Fellow environmentalists, join me in embracing nuclear power
Zion Lights
Thursday 25 June 2020 6:04 amZion Lights is director of Environmental Progress UK. She was formerly the editor of The Hourglass newspaper
As the lockdown measures we have become so familiar with over the past three months are slowly eased, discussions are turning to how to move forward with recovering from the economic hit of Covid-19 in a way that also addresses climate change.
I have a long history of campaigning on environmental issues, most recently as a spokesperson for Extinction Rebellion UK and the founder of its climate reporting newspaper The Hourglass.
Now, I have quit the organisation to take up a position as a campaigner for nuclear power.
…
For many years I was skeptical of nuclear power. Surrounded by anti-nuclear activists, I had allowed fear of radiation, nuclear waste and weapons of mass destruction to creep into my subconscious. When a friend sent me a scientific paper on the actual impacts, including the (very small number of) total deaths from radiation at Chernobyl and Fukushima, I realised I had been duped into anti-science sentiment all this time.
Reading up on safety, I found that the nuclear accidents that have occurred in my lifetime were due to unusual and extreme circumstances, or human errors. Chernobyl, for example, occurred due to the use of a flawed reactor design which caused a power surge and explosion at one of the reactors, and Japan’s Fukushima Daiichi disaster was triggered by the aftermath of the Tohoku earthquake and tsunami.
However, even when including these disastrous events, scientific research has found that nuclear power is still safer than fossil fuels, once air pollution, accidents (from energy extraction) and greenhouse gas emissions are taken into account.
What of renewable alternatives? Alongside my fellow activists, I had been singing the praises of renewable energy for years. But while renewables can and should be part of the mix in supplying energy to the UK, the technology simply doesn’t stretch to powering our country 24/7.
…
For every courageous green like Zion Lights, no doubt there are thousands of greens who choose to stay silent. But if you are a green, and you truly believe CO2 is a major threat to the planet, the time for silence has past.
I’m not saying every climate skeptic is pro-nuclear, but many of us are. If you really want to end decades of pointless policy paralysis, deadlock and stalemate, please consider following Zion Lights and Michael Shellenberger’s lead.
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via Watts Up With That?
June 27, 2020 at 12:23PM
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Greta Thunberg’s Confusion: Verhojansk COOLED 1930-1980… 38°C In Siberia 1 Week Long In 1957!
This is how alarmists operate today: Find one single extreme weather event and immediately behold it as proof of an impending climate change catastrophe. Never mind such events have happened earlier when CO2 was much lower.
“Record” heat at Verhojansk
Earlier this week, for example, teenage activist Greta Thunberg tweeted over at the now highly censored Twitter of a record warm reading recorded in Verhojansk, Siberia.https://platform.twitter.com/embed/index.html?dnt=false&embedId=twitter-widget-0&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1274288799716081665&lang=de&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwordpress.com%2Fread%2Fblogs%2F121663784%2Fposts%2F73782&theme=light&widgetsVersion=b930ccc%3A1593122803960&width=550px
Siberia has continental climate, temps range from -70°C to +40°C
What is supposed to be alarming about the reading is that it was recorded at the Arctic circle, which currently runs at 66°33′48.1″ north of the Equator. It’s supposed to be icy up there, with polar bears, so many people believe.
But that is of course not the case in the summertime. Hot temperature near 40°C near the Arctic circle have happened time and again in the past. The new record recorded at Verhojansk still needs to be confirmed by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), and if it stands, it will break the old record set back on July 25, 1988, when the town hit 37.3°C. But this is nothing unusual because records get broken all the time.
Arctic circle heat not uncommon in the summertime
High temperatures up in the Arctic occurred also much earlier in the past. For example meteorologist Chris Martz tweeted how 105 years ago Anchorage and Fort Yukon climbed to 100°F (37.8°C).https://platform.twitter.com/embed/index.html?dnt=false&embedId=twitter-widget-1&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1274777617837756417&lang=de&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwordpress.com%2Fread%2Fblogs%2F121663784%2Fposts%2F73782&theme=light&widgetsVersion=b930ccc%3A1593122803960&width=550px
100°F for one week in 1957
Reader Don Penim then added how the Chicago Tribune reported on July 14, 1957, that the temperature at Vorkuta, Russia, “inside the Arctic circle”, reached 100°F for en entire week!https://platform.twitter.com/embed/index.html?dnt=false&embedId=twitter-widget-2&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1274861347163922432&lang=de&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwordpress.com%2Fread%2Fblogs%2F121663784%2Fposts%2F73782&theme=light&widgetsVersion=b930ccc%3A1593122803960&width=550px
Siberia temperatures fell as CO2 rose
Next we look at NASA GHCN Version 3 and Version 4 mean annual temperature data for the weather station located at Verhojansk, Russia:
Data source: NASA GISS
Note how the mean annual temperature trend fell 50 years long while CO2 emissions climbed. Clearly CO2 is not driving the temperature in Siberia, and many experts question the claimed large atmospheric warming effect that CO2 has on the globe.
Climate blogger Tony Heller also tweeted how the Arctic above 80° north is at normal temperature, and has not risen above normal in the summertime for 20 years!https://platform.twitter.com/embed/index.html?dnt=false&embedId=twitter-widget-3&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1274992398033137665&lang=de&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwordpress.com%2Fread%2Fblogs%2F121663784%2Fposts%2F73782&theme=light&widgetsVersion=b930ccc%3A1593122803960&width=550px
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via NoTricksZone
June 27, 2020 at 09:51AM
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Motions in the sun reveal inner workings of sunspot cycle
Credit: MPS (Z.-C. Liang)
The title of the study cited in this report gives us the clue: ‘Meridional flow in the Sun’s convection zone is a single cell in each hemisphere’. The full cycle takes about 22 years on average, with a magnetic reversal halfway through.
– – –
The sun’s magnetic activity follows an 11-year cycle. Over the course of a solar cycle, the sun’s magnetic activity comes and goes, says Phys.org.
During solar maximum, large sunspots and active regions appear on the sun’s surface. Spectacular loops of hot plasma stretch throughout the sun’s atmosphere and eruptions of particles and radiation shoot into interplanetary space.
During solar minimum, the sun calms down considerably. A striking regularity appears in the so-called butterfly diagram, which describes the position of sunspots in a time-latitude plot.
At the beginning of a solar cycle, sunspots emerge at mid-latitudes. As the cycle progresses, they emerge closer and closer to the equator. To explain this “butterfly diagram,” solar physicists suspect that the deep magnetic field is carried toward the equator by a large-scale flow.
“Over the course of a solar cycle, the meridional flow acts as a conveyor belt that drags the magnetic field along and sets the period of the solar cycle,” says Prof. Dr. Laurent Gizon, MPS Director and first author of the new study.
“Seeing the geometry and the amplitude of motions in the solar interior is essential to understanding the sun’s magnetic field,” he adds.
To this end, Gizon and his team used helioseismology to map the plasma flow below the sun’s surface.
Helioseismology is to solar physics what seismology is to geophysics. Helioseismologists use sound waves to probe the sun’s interior, in much the same way geophysicists use earthquakes to probe the interior of the Earth.
Solar sound waves have periods near five minutes and are continuously excited by near surface convection. The motions associated with solar sound waves can be measured at the sun’s surface by telescopes on spacecrafts or on the ground.
In this study, Gizon and his team used observations of sound waves at the surface that propagate in the north-south direction through the solar interior. These waves are perturbed by the meridional flow: they travel faster along the flow than against the flow.
These very small travel-time perturbations (less than 1 second) were measured very carefully and were interpreted to infer the meridional flow using mathematical modeling and computers.
Full article here.
via Tallbloke’s Talkshop
June 27, 2020 at 09:03AM
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Motions in the sun reveal inner workings of sunspot cycle
Ionized gas inside the Sun moves toward the poles near the surface and toward the equator at the base of the convection zone (at a depth of 200,000 km/125,000 miles).
Credit: MPS (Z.-C. Liang)
The title of the study cited in this report gives us the clue: ‘Meridional flow in the Sun’s convection zone is a single cell in each hemisphere’. The full cycle takes about 22 years on average, with a magnetic reversal halfway through.
– – –
The sun’s magnetic activity follows an 11-year cycle. Over the course of a solar cycle, the sun’s magnetic activity comes and goes, says Phys.org.
During solar maximum, large sunspots and active regions appear on the sun’s surface. Spectacular loops of hot plasma stretch throughout the sun’s atmosphere and eruptions of particles and radiation shoot into interplanetary space.
During solar minimum, the sun calms down considerably. A striking regularity appears in the so-called butterfly diagram, which describes the position of sunspots in a time-latitude plot.
At the beginning of a solar cycle, sunspots emerge at mid-latitudes. As the cycle progresses, they emerge closer and closer to the equator. To explain this “butterfly diagram,” solar physicists suspect that the deep magnetic field is carried toward the equator by a large-scale flow.
“Over the course of a solar cycle, the meridional flow acts as a conveyor belt that drags the magnetic field along and sets the period of the solar cycle,” says Prof. Dr. Laurent Gizon, MPS Director and first author of the new study.
“Seeing the geometry and the amplitude of motions in the solar interior is essential to understanding the sun’s magnetic field,” he adds.
To this end, Gizon and his team used helioseismology to map the plasma flow below the sun’s surface.
Helioseismology is to solar physics what seismology is to geophysics. Helioseismologists use sound waves to probe the sun’s interior, in much the same way geophysicists use earthquakes to probe the interior of the Earth.
Solar sound waves have periods near five minutes and are continuously excited by near surface convection. The motions associated with solar sound waves can be measured at the sun’s surface by telescopes on spacecrafts or on the ground.
In this study, Gizon and his team used observations of sound waves at the surface that propagate in the north-south direction through the solar interior. These waves are perturbed by the meridional flow: they travel faster along the flow than against the flow.
These very small travel-time perturbations (less than 1 second) were measured very carefully and were interpreted to infer the meridional flow using mathematical modeling and computers.
Full article here.
via Tallbloke’s Talkshop
June 27, 2020 at 09:03AM
